Sparsely-populated south-Portuguese interior. Hot, dry, regen-active (Tamera, Project Kamp, dozens of permaculture sites).
This region has a full case study in the deeper material.
Across the slate the data shows these two as the decisive constraints, more often than soil, climate or water. They sit before everything else.
Source: Idealista Alentejo listings Q4 2024 to Q1 2025; CBRE Property Handbook 2024; Savills Global Farmland September 2024; Eurostat agricultural land prices 2024 release · confidence: high
Geodesic km from region centroid to nearest OSM hospital, not a 60-minute road-network isochrone. The centroid may fall on a regional hub city (Oaxaca City, Santiago, Bolzano, Taos, Evora) rather than a target rural settlement site, so a low number can reflect centroid placement more than real rural-settlement access. V2 to refine via road-time isochrones.
Source: accessibility.md, INE Portugal Censos 2021 and Pordata 2023 · confidence: high
Source: APA Plano de Gestao de Regiao Hidrografica Alentejo (2022-2027); Alentejo legal dossier · confidence: medium
Source: EASAC Groundwater in the Southern Member States of the European Union, Portugal (2020) · confidence: low
Structural microclimate features that hold the place steady, paired with how fast warming is eroding them. State plus trajectory, per the framework.
Source: WorldClim CMIP6 v2.1 (2024); Soares et al. Scientific Reports 2024; IPMA Climate Scenarios 2023; Gomes et al. 2024 · confidence: high
| Climate trajectoryMean annual temperature, 2041–2060 | 20 °C | Hot temperate | WorldClim CMIP6 v2.1 · 2041–2060 SSP2-4.5 · WorldClim terms |
|---|---|---|---|
| Water stressProjected baseline water scarcity, 2050 BAU | 0.7 score | High to extremely high | WRI Aqueduct 4.0 · 2050 BAU · CC BY 4.0 |
| Soil organic carbonSOC topsoil concentration | 20 g/kg | Low, Mediterranean dry | SoilGrids 2.0 (ISRIC) · 2020 · CC BY 4.0 |
| Forest cover trajectoryTree cover trend, 2001–2023 | -2.4 %/decade | Declining (eucalyptus + fires) | Hansen Global Forest Change v1.11 · 2001–2023 · CC BY 4.0 |
| Solar PV potentialLong-term average PV output | 1,650 kWh/kWp | Excellent (top decile EU) | Global Solar Atlas v2.7 · 1999–2018 avg · CC BY 4.0 |
| Conflict proximityFatal political-violence events 2019–2024 | 0 events | None | UCDP GED v25.1 · 2019–2024 · CC BY 4.0 |
| Regenerative network densityIntentional communities and permaculture sites within ~100 km | 8 sites | High density (Tamera anchor) | GEN, Tamera project page · 2025 · GEN open data; ODbL |
| Population densityPersons per km² (projected 2030) | 22 p/km² | Very low (Portugal’s emptiest NUTS-II) | INE Portugal Censos 2021 · 2023 · Open (JRC) |
Native units throughout. Values are best-available midpoints from the cited public sources. Nothing here is composite, weighted, or scored across criteria.
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